Assessing Fire Susceptibility of Threatened Plant Species in Temperate Forest Ecosystem of Azerbaijan Using MaxEnt Method
Yazarlar (4)
Yusif Abiyev
Baku State University, Azerbaycan
Doç. Dr. Remzi Eker İzmir Kâtip Çelebi Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Arş. Gör. Ahmet AÇIL Karabük Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Kadir Alperen Coskuner Karadeniz Technical University, Türkiye
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Croatian Journal of Forest Engineering (Q2)
Dergi ISSN 1845-5719 Dergi Bilgileri (2025)
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 01-2025
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 46 / 1 / 141–154 DOI 10.5552/crojfe.2025.2456
Makale Linki https://hrcak.srce.hr/clanak/471774
UAK Araştırma Alanları
Ziraat, Orman ve Su Ürünleri
Özet
Natural and human-induced disturbances are major drivers of the decline and loss of vulnerable species worldwide. Among these, fires are particularly disruptive as they can devastate entire ecosystems. Assessing the likelihood and severity of such disturbances on plant communities is crucial for the management and conservation of biodiversity. This study aims to analyze fire susceptibility using the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model to evaluate the potential impacts of fires on the biodiversity of a lowland forest in Azerbaijan. The research was conducted as part of the project on the evaluation of Red Book species in Azerbaijan based on IUCN categories and criteria. In this study, 21 rare plant species found in the Samur-Yalama National Park (SYNP) were assessed for fire susceptibility, as they have been significantly affected by fires in recent years. The fire susceptibility analysis included 12 driving factors, categorized into topographic, vegetation, and climatic factors, and identified 564 wildfire incidents. Model performance was evaluated using the AUC value, which was 0.855, indicating good model accuracy. Fire susceptibility was classified into three categories: low, moderate, and high. According to the results, 12,642 hectares (60.82%) of the SYNP area fall under low susceptibility, 5532 hectares (26.62%) under moderate susceptibility, and 2611 hectares (12.56%) under high susceptibility. Rare plant species in SYNP were evaluated based on their fire susceptibility. It was found that Alcea kusariensis (Iljin ex Grossh.) Iljin, Anacamptis morio subsp. picta (Loisel.) Jacquet & Scappat., Equisetum hyemale L., Orchis purpurea Huds., Pinus …
Anahtar Kelimeler
fire susceptibility | lowland forests | MaxEnt | Samur-Yalama National Park | vulnerable species
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Atıf Sayıları
Web of Science 5
Scopus 5
Google Scholar 6
Assessing Fire Susceptibility of Threatened Plant Species in Temperate Forest Ecosystem of Azerbaijan Using MaxEnt Method

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