Financial and insurance services trade and role of the exchange rate: An asymmetric analysis       
Yazarlar (2)
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
University Of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri
Prof. Dr. Hüseyin KARAMELİKLİ Karabük Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Economic Analysis and Policy
Dergi ISSN 0313-5926 Wos Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SSCI
Dergi Grubu Q1
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 12-2021
Cilt No 72
Sayı 1
Sayfalar 358 / 367
DOI Numarası 10.1016/j.eap.2021.09.001
Makale Linki http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2021.09.001
Özet
Almost all studies in the trade literature have concentrated on the trade in goods. Recently, a study considered trade in two service industries (insurance and financial) between the U.S. and six of her trading partners and concluded that exchange rate changes have no significant effects on the U.S. service trade. Could such a finding be due to assuming the effects to be symmetric? We provide an affirmative answer by arguing and demonstrating that the effects of exchange rate on service trade could be asymmetric, which requires using nonlinear models. Once we estimate the nonlinear models, indeed we show that dollar depreciation and dollar appreciation have significant short-run and long-run effects on the U.S. inpayments from and outpayments to most of its partners in the two service industries. We attribute our new discoveries to the nonlinear adjustment of the real exchange rate.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Asymmetric analysis | Nonlinear ARDL | Real exchange rate | The U.S. | Trade in services