On the asymmetric effects of exchange rate uncertainty on China's bilateral trade with its major partners       
Yazarlar (3)
Jia Xu
Shanghai International Studies University, Çin
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
University Of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri
Prof. Dr. Hüseyin KARAMELİKLİ Karabük Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Economic Analysis and Policy
Dergi ISSN 0313-5926 Wos Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SSCI
Dergi Grubu Q1
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 03-2022
Cilt No 73
Sayı 1
Sayfalar 653 / 669
DOI Numarası 10.1016/j.eap.2021.12.017
Makale Linki http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2021.12.017
Özet
Following recent advances in asymmetric impact of exchange rate volatility on trade flows, we assess the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on China's bilateral trade with each of its 21 trading partners. We find symmetric effects in only a few bilateral trade models. However, the asymmetric analysis which required using nonlinear models revealed short-run asymmetric effects in almost all export and import demand models and log-run significant asymmetric effects in 50% of the models. In almost all models, while increased volatility was found to hurt Chinese trade, decreased volatility was found to boost them, implying that stable exchange rate is beneficial for China's trade.
Anahtar Kelimeler
15 partners | Asymmetric analysis | China | Exchange rate uncertainty | Trade