The impacts of exchange rate on US adjusted bilateral trade balance with Germany under Brexit: A comparative analysis
Yazarlar (3)
Serdar Ongan
University Of South Florida, Tampa, Türkiye
University Of South Florida, Tampa, Türkiye
İsmet Göçer
University Of Strathclyde, İngiltere
University Of Strathclyde, İngiltere
Prof. Dr. Hüseyin KARAMELİKLİ Karabük Üniversitesi, Türkiye
| Makale Türü |
Özgün Makale
(SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
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| Dergi Adı | Manchester School (Q3) | ||
| Dergi ISSN | 1463-6786 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi | ||
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | SSCI | ||
| Makale Dili | İngilizce | Basım Tarihi | 01-2025 |
| Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa | 93 / 1 / 1–29 | DOI | 10.1111/manc.12494 |
| Makale Linki | http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/manc.12494 | ||
| UAK Araştırma Alanları |
Uluslararası Ticaret
Bölgesel Gelişme ve Küreselleşme
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| Özet |
| This study reveals the hidden dynamics of USA‐Germany international trade through a revised J‐curve hypothesis. It emphasizes the inadequacy of the traditional Bilateral Trade Balance (BTB) ratio based on total exports. To this aim, it introduces two new testing approaches based on adjusted BTB: the GDP‐driven‐BTB‐based J‐curve hypothesis (GDPJ) and the Non‐GDP‐driven‐BTB‐based J‐curve hypothesis (NGDPJ). The empirical findings advocate the necessity of these alternative tests, offering policymakers more informative results than the traditional approach. GDPJ is validated for 13 goods, while NGDPJ and traditional methods are validated for 10 and 8 goods. These results underscore the risks of solely relying on the traditional approach. By embracing the revised J‐curve hypothesis and alternative BTBs, policymakers can gain deeper insights into the USA‐Germany trade relationship. One … |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| asymmetric J-curve | GDP-driven J-curve hypothesis testing | nonlinear ARDL |
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
| Atıf Sayıları | |
| Web of Science | 3 |
| Scopus | 3 |
| Google Scholar | 4 |