Is terrorism a real threat to tourism development? Analysis of inbound and domestic tourist arrivals in Turkey
Yazarlar (3)
Prof. Dr. Hüseyin KARAMELİKLİ Karabük Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Ashfak Ahmad KHAN Karabük Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Mohammad Sharif Karimi
Razi University, İran
Makale Türü Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Current Issues in Tourism (Q1)
Dergi ISSN 1368-3500 Dergi Bilgileri (2020)
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SSCI
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 09-2020
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 23 / 17 / 2165–2181 DOI 10.1080/13683500.2019.1681945
Makale Linki https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13683500.2019.1681945
UAK Araştırma Alanları
Ekonomik Coğrafya
Özet
This study estimates the long-run and short-run impact of terrorist incidents on inbound and domestic tourist arrivals in Turkey by using a non-linear autoregressive lag (NARDL) model for the period between 2007 and 2016. The results reveal unidirectional nonlinear relationships from terrorism to tourism in both the long-run and short run. Inbound and domestic tourists show different respond towards an increase or decrease in terrorist incidents. The findings are expected to help tourism management, planning, and forecasting regarding greater economic benefits for the country. We suggest that improving security measures and effective safety procedures in tourist areas can reduce terrorist incidents in the future.
Anahtar Kelimeler
cointegration | NARDL model | Terrorism | tourism | Turkey
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Atıf Sayıları
Web of Science 40
Scopus 39
Google Scholar 49
Is terrorism a real threat to tourism development? Analysis of inbound and domestic tourist arrivals in Turkey

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